El fenómeno ENSO y la precipitación de la Zona Protectora Monte Alto, Costa Rica

Much is discussed about the climatic changes associated with regional or global atmospheric phenomena. Empiric evidence, however, does not necessarily support such claims even though it is necessary to visualize the strength of their effects and important for the design of management and conservatio...

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Autores principales: Rojas Alvarado, Carlos, Guzmán Vindas, Gloriana, Méndez García, Miguel
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Publicado: Universidad de Costa Rica 2023
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Acceso en línea:https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/54178
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author Rojas Alvarado, Carlos
Guzmán Vindas, Gloriana
Méndez García, Miguel
author_facet Rojas Alvarado, Carlos
Guzmán Vindas, Gloriana
Méndez García, Miguel
author_sort Rojas Alvarado, Carlos
collection Revista Ingeniería (RI)
description Much is discussed about the climatic changes associated with regional or global atmospheric phenomena. Empiric evidence, however, does not necessarily support such claims even though it is necessary to visualize the strength of their effects and important for the design of management and conservation agendas of those biosystems supporting the modern lifestyle. In this work, a time series analysis was carried out with monthly precipitation data from the Monte Alto Protected Zone in Hojancha, Costa Rica, for the period between May 2013 and November 2022. A disruption in the temporal pattern was detected in the rainy season of 2017 that took about two years to return to the original state. Such disruption was clearly linked with a cold period of the ENSO phenomenon, colloquially known as “La Niña”, and was followed by a second disruption with an effect lasting until this moment. The data presented herein evidence that ENSO has a direct effect on the precipitation pattern in the Monte Alto Reserve, whose original conservation purpose was to provide drinking water to local populations. The oscillations in the hydrological cycle, apparently more frequent in the last years based on the local context of this analysis, influence the quality of life of the affected populations and deserve monitoring for a proper documentation and quantification intended to increase human resilience by means of adaptation.
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spelling INII-RI-article-541782024-01-29T16:03:23Z The ENSO phenomenon and the precipitation of the Monte Alto Protected Zone, Costa Rica El fenómeno ENSO y la precipitación de la Zona Protectora Monte Alto, Costa Rica Rojas Alvarado, Carlos Guzmán Vindas, Gloriana Méndez García, Miguel adaptación cambio climático eventos extremos Guanacaste Hojancha resiliencia Adaptation climate change extreme events Guanacaste Hojancha resilience Much is discussed about the climatic changes associated with regional or global atmospheric phenomena. Empiric evidence, however, does not necessarily support such claims even though it is necessary to visualize the strength of their effects and important for the design of management and conservation agendas of those biosystems supporting the modern lifestyle. In this work, a time series analysis was carried out with monthly precipitation data from the Monte Alto Protected Zone in Hojancha, Costa Rica, for the period between May 2013 and November 2022. A disruption in the temporal pattern was detected in the rainy season of 2017 that took about two years to return to the original state. Such disruption was clearly linked with a cold period of the ENSO phenomenon, colloquially known as “La Niña”, and was followed by a second disruption with an effect lasting until this moment. The data presented herein evidence that ENSO has a direct effect on the precipitation pattern in the Monte Alto Reserve, whose original conservation purpose was to provide drinking water to local populations. The oscillations in the hydrological cycle, apparently more frequent in the last years based on the local context of this analysis, influence the quality of life of the affected populations and deserve monitoring for a proper documentation and quantification intended to increase human resilience by means of adaptation. Mucho se habla de los cambios climáticos producto de fenómenos atmosféricos de orden regional y global; sin embargo, no siempre se cuenta con evidencia relacionada con ellos. Esta comprobación científica es necesaria para visualizar la dimensión de su efecto y para sentar las bases de manejo y conservación de los servicios ecosistémicos que sustentan el estilo de vida moderno. En este trabajo, se ha hecho un análisis de series de tiempo del registro mensual de precipitación de la Zona Protectora Monte Alto en Hojancha, Costa Rica, para el periodo entre mayo 2013 y noviembre 2022. Se ha descubierto que una disrupción del patrón temporal de precipitación durante la temporada lluviosa del año 2017 tomó alrededor de dos años para regresar al estado original. Tal disrupción estuvo directamente vinculada con un periodo frío del fenómeno ENSO, conocido coloquialmente como “La Niña” y fue seguida por otra disrupción similar cuyo efecto continúa hasta este momento. Los datos acá presentados evidencian que el fenómeno ENSO tiene un efecto directo sobre la precipitación de la Zona Protectora Monte Alto, cuya función original en el contexto local es la de proveer agua potable a las comunidades aledañas. Las oscilaciones en el ciclo hidrológico, aparentemente más frecuentes en los últimos años en el contexto local de este análisis, tienen un efecto real sobre la calidad de vida de las poblaciones afectadas y merecen seguir siendo documentadas y cuantificadas para incrementar la resiliencia por adaptación de las sociedades afectadas. Universidad de Costa Rica 2023-08-17 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Article Artículo application/pdf application/epub+zip text/html https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/54178 10.15517/ri.v34i1.54178 Ingeniería; Vol. 34 No. 1 (2024): January - June 2024; 1- 6 Ingeniería; Vol. 34 Núm. 1 (2024): Enero - Junio 2024; 1- 6 Ingeniería; Vol. 34 N.º 1 (2024): Enero - Junio 2024; 1- 6 2215-2652 1409-2441 spa https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/54178/56895 https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/54178/56896 https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/54178/56897 Derechos de autor 2023 Carlos Rojas Alvarado, Gloriana Guzmán Vindas, Miguel Méndez García https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0
spellingShingle adaptación
cambio climático
eventos extremos
Guanacaste
Hojancha
resiliencia
Adaptation
climate change
extreme events
Guanacaste
Hojancha
resilience
Rojas Alvarado, Carlos
Guzmán Vindas, Gloriana
Méndez García, Miguel
El fenómeno ENSO y la precipitación de la Zona Protectora Monte Alto, Costa Rica
title El fenómeno ENSO y la precipitación de la Zona Protectora Monte Alto, Costa Rica
title_alt The ENSO phenomenon and the precipitation of the Monte Alto Protected Zone, Costa Rica
title_full El fenómeno ENSO y la precipitación de la Zona Protectora Monte Alto, Costa Rica
title_fullStr El fenómeno ENSO y la precipitación de la Zona Protectora Monte Alto, Costa Rica
title_full_unstemmed El fenómeno ENSO y la precipitación de la Zona Protectora Monte Alto, Costa Rica
title_short El fenómeno ENSO y la precipitación de la Zona Protectora Monte Alto, Costa Rica
title_sort el fenomeno enso y la precipitacion de la zona protectora monte alto costa rica
topic adaptación
cambio climático
eventos extremos
Guanacaste
Hojancha
resiliencia
Adaptation
climate change
extreme events
Guanacaste
Hojancha
resilience
topic_facet adaptación
cambio climático
eventos extremos
Guanacaste
Hojancha
resiliencia
Adaptation
climate change
extreme events
Guanacaste
Hojancha
resilience
url https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/54178
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